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​​​​September 2022 AACE Meeting 

Risk Analysis and Contingency Determination using Range Estimating

(AACE 41R-08 RP)

Presenter:  Anthony (Tony) M. Woodrich, CCP, PMP, MBA

Date:   September 21st, 2022

Location:  Weber's Inn

                3050 Jackson Road, Ann Arbor, MI

                (734) 769-2500

Time:   6:00 pm to 6:30 pm – Social Hour
            6:30 pm to 7:15 pm  - Dinner

            7:15 pm to 8:15 pm - Program

Cost:  $30 for Program and Dinner -  Students are FREE but must RSVP

           (Cost is being held to Pre-Pandemic rates)

In-Person Attendance:  RSVP at before the end of day Friday, September 16th, 2022.  Please indicate any dietary restrictions.  Please be mindful when submitting your RSVP as we are charged based upon our pre-meeting headcount.

Virtual Attendance: []

You can also dial in using your phone.

Access Code:  506-785-517
United States:  +1 (571) 317-3122

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Raffle Giveaway:  Each Meeting attendance (in-person and virtual) provides you (1) entry into the raffle for either a $200 Visa Gift Card or monetary support to attend the 2022 AACEI Annual Conference in location to be named later.

You may claim up to 0.25 Continuing Education Units (CEU) by attending this meeting.

Presentation and Speaker Info

Topic:  Risk Analysis and Contingency Determination using Range Estimating
(AACE 41R-08 RP)

Presenter: Anthony (Tony) M. Woodrich, CCP, PMP, MBA

AACE International is a regular storehouse of professional information.

With over 78 Recommended Practices, few members have the time to understand all the valuable resources AACE provides.

At the start of the worldwide Pandemic, the US Army was directed by the Secretary of Defense to use AACE RP’s in their CAPEX programs, so the Corps of Engineers went to AACE for the training and was directed to AACE’s list of Approved Education Providers, ultimately selecting ACM as the “most qualified” and “price competitive” (Tony’s not privy to US Army Source Selection Criteria, but those are the key criteria the Air Force used in the past when selecting sources) to conduct the training.  One mandated Recommended Practice for use by the Corps was “Risk Analysis and Contingency Determination using Range Estimating”.  We’ve all sat through the software vendors and industry experts right here at the AACE Great Lakes Local Section as they explain risk determination and contingency calculation tools.  This presentation explains what is in the AACE RP on this matter.  Although, it is not known how the Corps of Engineers was calculating Risk and Contingency, after viewing this RP, we can now trust they are using prudent methods for contingency development, which you’ll gain insight to.  This informational overview was presented to over 200 Army Corp of Engineer Civilians in European, African, CONUS and Pacific Theaters.




Anthony (Tony) M. Woodrich, CCP, PMP, MBA

Our presenter is Anthony Woodrich, Certified Cost Professional, a USAF Veteran, graduate of the USAF Academy, Civil Engineer, and co-owner of Administrative Controls Management.  Tony spent years supporting the Air Force at Electronics Systems Center, Hanscom Air Force Base in Lexington MA, as a buyer, a construction manager, and Chief of the Base Emergency Engineer Force (Combat Engineering).  After serving in the Air Force, Tony joined ACM where he learned, the Government has nothing on managing projects compared to how ACM manages and controls projects.  With Tony’s leadership, ACM was awarded a 5 year IDIQ contract to support the DOT FAA with Project Management reporting in Region  6 (Hawaii, Guam, California, Nevada, Arizona, Samoa, and Saipan).  ACM’s Project Managers and trainers are Practitioners of Project Management and Project Controls. During the Pandemic Tony helped a manufacturing client through the decision making process to “make or buy” (expand or rent) a new facility and engineering management to install a third N-95 mask line to an already cramped production facility; and last spring and this summer, Tony helped that same client manage the installation of two new foam production product lines in a Michigan Facility.  When Tony’s not on the road helping clients manage high impact, important projects, he is helping train client’s teams for proper project management methodology.  Last month he spent a week in Mobile, Alabama helping a client set up CPM Scheduling processes.  Some Project Management organizations endorse 9 knowledge areas and integration of all for proper project management; implementing all that overhead is not always in the project’s best interest to finishing on-time, on-budget, et al.  Sometimes, it’s best to implement ACM’s mission  “Provide the most timely, cost-effective resolutions to Project Management concerns.”  As Tony is sometimes short on words, you can know he is listening to what the problems are and brainstorming recommended practices to help fix those problems. 

 Tony enjoys golf, formerly playing ice hockey and racquetball in the winter, due to those health hazards is pondering a potential future with bowling. 

Tony Volunteers time as:
the AACE Utility and Energy SIG Chair.  And Previously
Tony served as the Great Lakes Chapter of Microsoft Project User’s Group President. 2014-2019.
Tony was Vice President of SE Kiwanis, VP and President of Camp Newton, a UP Nature conservancy and outdoor club.

Tony was also President and Treasurer of a Florida Property Association on the ocean.

AACE Great Lakes Section